Monday 11 November 2013

Taking the Sparkle Out the History of Big Bangs of Financial Markets

What was once hailed as progressive financial reform benefiting the growth and development of key financial markets worldwide needs to seen for what it really is, an unmitigated disaster. Not that this would be admitted by those who have benefit from financial 'reforms' and the slew of associated policies that these ushered in to the benefit of the high risk 'gambling' community challenging the very sound basis of traditional economic structures by which politically stable economies could approach growth and sustained takeoff soundly based. We sacrificed sound economics to the dictatorship of right wing politics that ultimately threatens a severe implosion and deflation of economic values worldwide. How long can patches be stuck on this failed balloon design for the benefit of those harnessed to the power of credit creators. We are riding on the backs of teams of wild horses that will lose steam and collapse below the clouds of their own indifference. 

Instead of good practices, the Big Bangs have had central banks roll in predatory structural reforms that lead to currency and monetary crisis after crisis running from Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Thailand and the rest of Asia, United States, The UK, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Iceland Ireland. Start eating shit style political policies and parade them as sound economics and your economies turn into shit style economies without the benefit of sound politics. You watch a fair income distribution and full employment get replaced with skewed income distribution and job search forever. You grow too fast and you overprice and watch the market fall, so you do nothing but provide liquidity forever. Man your economy is in the shit hole of the worst form.

The Big Bangs of Financial Markets were the death knolls of sound financial and economic policies and have resulted in income distributions that threaten to produce political revolutions that will make the French Revolution over two hundred years ago seem like a picnic. The problem with financial reforms is that they destroyed the solid links between savings and growth in the stable economies of the Western World with the economic conditions that brought on World Wars One and Two. If we are to avoid the flights into economic policy fantasy that characterise conditions that create massive social instability and the preconditions to Demand for a major World War, we need to reverse the direction taken with the Big Bangs and rebuild the key relationships between work and reward, savings and life cycle economic optimisation, presently missing. 

The new policies would separate away short term banking and gambling finance from the basic economic requirements for savings and pension funding. Rather than use the money creation process as the source of finance for acquisitions and stock market success, these should be based on growth of income and profitability long and short term. In essence, we direly need a return to traditional economic structures otherwise the brave new world won't be one worth living in.







Samsung Tips $100 Million IoT Strategy | EE Times






Help to Buy scheme take-up praised by David Cameron | Money | The Guardian

Would that the so called experts advising Cameron even knew what constitutes conditions to worry about. They obviously don't! Locking into low interest rates and funding housing at the short end may not be good long term policy. It helps inflate stock prices and endangers the health of bond markets.  Bad policy, bad strategy, bad tactics, bad stuff to come, bad for Conservatives, period. 







Perhaps Bill Gates Really Shouldn't Be Concentrating On A Malaria Vaccine - Forbes

Tim Worstall in his comments about the mechanisms for the role of economics and health affecting malaria victims misses the point that networking and advanced technology doesn't really create a basis for economic growth. I find his ideas surprising and frustrating as they come from a plausibly intelligent business analyst. But, perhaps I should not be surprised given how far Wall Street has strayed from sound economics and common business sense over the past two decades. I am inclined to think a major correction is coming because of such ignorance of the basic economics of employment.

It would wrong to assume that because computers are widespread, networked and fed into an educational system or that wireless systems are in place that this somehow means local populations experience better economics. One has to ask how these systems are paid for. Who saves to buy.  Who earns income to buy, and what is the quality of what is purchased. Is there a long term process of transformation into self sustained economic growth that would reduce the malaria spreading mosquitos because of its impact on household size? 

On the contrary, there could reason to believe that they experience the worst form of shallow consumerism and unemployment frustration. The link to technology change and household size has to be tenuous were technology be relied on to be the kick off to economic growth. It simply isn't / can't be / wasn't. Neither in America nor anywhere else in the world. Socialism is. Concerted effort by focused government programs are. Not capitalist market surprises. Government intervention that produces infrastructure is. Development assistance from the World Bank is! Special poverty reducing employment programs are.

In my view, it's best to tackle the question of health and disease immunity first, then that of economic development and subsequent growth. In the case of having good health, there is a chance of a healthy child performing work and contributing to a community. The necessity of governments concerned to assist over the long haul is there for all to see and to observe in the data. 

A sick child will only force its dependency on the cost structure of the community. Poverty reduction comes from giving the basics then allowing the child to fight for survival rather than waiting for the parent to somehow get the income that leads to a reduction in household size. 

The correlation Worstall alludes to seems to me to be unsustainable as a model. The fall in household size is at best a consequence of a long period of health within the spawning family, not something that happens within a household.

Is this model put forward by Tim Worstall as a conservative style agenda that somehow poverty is the fault of the poor. Perhaps, instead, poverty is the fault of the rich who take from the community rather than giving back. It certainly was before the revolutions in France and Anerica and before the American civil war. Market size grows with health and basic infrastructure provided by the state not by private industry. If one waited for the private sector to establish growth one would have an economy like that of the United States that has disappointed the world with its abysmal performance over several decades. We all know that this is due to a weak infrastructure in America, particularly it's health system which was primarily geared to the haves and whites. The war on the poor in America is there for everyone with eyes to see and interpret. American stock market dynamics and Republican politics represent a betrayal of America's poor. The American banking system is a disgrace to a so called advanced economy.

Racism continues to exist in America as a potent force and is at the forefront of its economic sluggishness. American benefited from social reforms affecting its poor and can continue to benefit as long as it shows leadership in the socialisation of its medical and educational fields. The notion that private industry does other than plunder the economy is somewhat ludicrous in a society that cannot save worth a bean and still demands, rather, beggars the world by borrowing against the future of its poor and unborn. Is it not enough that America spreads ideals of self reliance, but has rapidly become the most dependent state in the world. 







Silver Springs Smart Meter Recall Halted







DOE Unveils Plan to Spur Solar Adoption







Kyocera's large 70MW solar power plant inaugurated in Japan







SunPower Builds Solar at California Community Colleges | Green Energy News







India's Mars Mission among top five most tracked satellites | Business Standard







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Sketches from scratches is a provocative blogspot that has grown out of the Wuh Lax experience. It is eclectic, which means that it might consider just about anything from the simple to the extremely difficult. A scratch can be something that is troubling me or a short line on paper. From a scratch comes a verbal sketch or image sketch of the issue or subject. Other sites have other stuff that should really be of interest to the broad reader. I try to develop themes, but variety often comes before depth. ... more!